The chances for me where not phenomenal because I had bad luck in the spinning, too (Few ingredients, rather 2 or 5 pots) That leads to 13 ingredients, 4 of which Chilis.
First Chili in first try was a 4 in 13, let‘s say 1 in 3 chance, ok. Can happen.
The second right after it was a 3 in 12! So 1 in 4 chance. Bad luck.
The third right after that was a 2 in 11, so almost 1 in 6. Still it hit me.
You can’t math bad luck away
Last spins were pots, too, so my chances haven’t improved and I might get the low-pot (anti-jackpot) again. Was close already with another two chilis from the start.